Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.