Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$111K
Txns
3,011
Traders
374
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$13,616
Volume
$111K
Txns
3,011
Traders
374
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$13,616
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54m | polimoly | Yes / 1.6¢ | +3.07 | $0.05 | |
| 54m | zxcursed121 | Yes / 1.6¢ | -3.07 | $0.05 | |
| 4h | PPMT | No / 96.3¢ | -42.60 | $41 | |
| 4h | polimoly | Yes / 1.6¢ | +138.64 | $2.22 | |
| 4h | Chegildek | Yes / 3.7¢ | +20.00 | $0.74 | |
| 4h | 0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269 | No / 96.2¢ | -6.00 | $5.77 | |
| 4h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 1.7¢ | +19.76 | $0.34 | |
| 4h | NOIZYUV | Yes / 3.0¢ | -500.00 | $14.9 | |
| 4h | polimoly | Yes / 3.6¢ | +273.00 | $9.83 | |
| 8h | Haradwaith | Yes / 5.7¢ | -23.44 | $1.34 | |
| 8h | 0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269 | No / 94.3¢ | +6.56 | $6.19 | |
| 8h | kiko1 | No / 94.3¢ | -30.00 | $28.3 | |
| 12h | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 96.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.63 | |
| 12h | polimoly | Yes / 3.6¢ | +27.00 | $0.97 | |
| 12h | hilenweb3 | Yes / 3.6¢ | -37.00 | $1.34 | |
| 16h | LowProfi | No / 93.2¢ | -321.00 | $299 | |
| 16h | SoftChoice | No / 93.2¢ | -20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 16h | SoftDelay | Yes / 6.8¢ | -656.00 | $44.6 | |
| 16h | MostlyHarmle | No / 93.2¢ | -315.00 | $294 | |
| 16h | SoftChoice | No / 93.2¢ | -321.00 | $299 | |
| 16h | CalmImperfect | Yes / 6.8¢ | -656.00 | $44.6 | |
| 16h | NotUrgent | No / 93.2¢ | -335.00 | $312 | |
| 17h | MostlyHarmle | No / 93.2¢ | +315.00 | $294 | |
| 17h | SoftDelay | Yes / 6.8¢ | +315.00 | $21.4 | |
| 17h | SoftDelay | Yes / 6.8¢ | +341.00 | $23.2 |
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