
Volume
$305K
Txns
3,796
Traders
634
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 88%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 78%$0volume
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 92%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -38.24 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | dy5izqsuom48 | No / 99.9¢ | -38.24 | $38.2 | |
| 3mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.75 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x24Bb267D0Eed85CDe28714bC7DcBf5e0a977C9f5-1773073480607 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.75 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Rewardsfarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,053.75 | $3.05 | |
| 3mo | 0x24Bb267D0Eed85CDe28714bC7DcBf5e0a977C9f5-1773073480607 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +196.25 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | Cloverince | No / 99.9¢ | +3,500.00 | $3.5K | |
| 3mo | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,053.75 | $2.05 | |
| 3mo | Rewardsfarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,946.25 | $1.95 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +738.75 | $0.74 | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,946.25 | $2.95 | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Hinshaw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | twobe3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | enamelgig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
1–25