
Volume
$11K
Txns
313
Traders
97
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2024
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | +722.00 | $721 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 0.1¢ | +222.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | debased | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 1.0¢ | +433.06 | $4.33 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 1.0¢ | -433.06 | $4.33 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 1.0¢ | -65.00 | $0.65 | |
| 1y | aaa123 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -65.00 | $64.3 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 1.0¢ | -300.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 1.0¢ | +150.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | debased | No / 1.0¢ | +150.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 2.0¢ | +201.94 | $4.04 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 2.0¢ | -201.94 | $4.04 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | abrally33 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | vaughan18912 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | yu1e00891 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 98.0¢ | -1.02 | $1 | |
| 1y | gemma44344 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +1.02 | $1 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 99%$227Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
No 100%$236Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.14Mvolume