Will Hikaru win the 2023 American Cup?

The Saint Louis Chess Club is hosting The American Cup in 2023, a double elimination format tournament set to take place over March 16-26, 2023. Hikaru Nakamura is set to compete with a cadre of grandmasters for a $300,000 prize fund. If Hikaru Nakamura wins the 2023 American Cup, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Hikaru Nakamura to win the 2023 American Cup based on the rules of the tournament. Otherwise, this market will not resolve until this tournament's end. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament (https://www.uschesschamps.com/2023-american-cup/overview) including live footage from the game; however, other credible reporting may be used.