
Volume
$33K
Txns
821
Traders
188
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 11, 2025
On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 10, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET and July 11, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 95%$2.09Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 64%$516Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 61%$1.12Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 88%$708Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 79%$960Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 78%$935Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | during777 | No / 99.9¢ | -14.74 | $14.7 | |
| 11mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +14.74 | $14.7 | |
| 11mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +8.10 | $8.09 | |
| 11mo | Mo0o | No / 99.9¢ | -8.10 | $8.09 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | -37.61 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +22.39 | $22.4 | |
| 11mo | batmanfren | No / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 11mo | volodius3000 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.68 | $4.68 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4.68 | $0 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.06 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Mattyy007 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.06 | $5.05 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.65 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Creek1 | No / 99.9¢ | -12.65 | $12.6 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | sdd1123 | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | No / 99.8¢ | -15.41 | $15.4 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 11mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +1,686.15 | $1.68K | |
| 11mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.74 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | Frams | No / 99.2¢ | -144.15 | $143 | |
| 11mo | h038596027355 | No / 99.2¢ | +100.00 | $99.2 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | Yes / 0.7¢ | -28.74 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | smoltrader | No / 99.2¢ | +15.41 | $15.3 | |
| 11mo | frenzybear | No / 99.3¢ | -24.69 | $24.5 |
1–25