
Volume
$130K
Txns
3,989
Traders
359
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 8, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.60 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | 0x1072...2db9f9 | No / 99.9¢ | +49.60 | $49.5 | |
| 10mo | 0xe9b0...a92cfd | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.2¢ | -150.17 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | Mbug1717 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5,000.00 | $9.98 | |
| 10mo | aricraft | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.2¢ | -532.00 | $1.06 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.8¢ | +4,297.83 | $4.29K | |
| 10mo | diiiitectoir | No / 99.9¢ | -7.01 | $7 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.01 | $7 | |
| 10mo | Noi422 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | kituchina | No / 99.9¢ | -7.01 | $7 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.01 | $7 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 10mo | flexing7 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | PedroGonzales | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Kaselakhs | Yes / 0.1¢ | -18.18 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.18 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +18.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.3¢ | -18.00 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.12Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$77.1Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 57%$741Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.81Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 99%$62.3Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 80%$54.8Kvolume