| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? NoPolitics 560.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $56 (11.8%) | $476 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:05 AM | |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 1.00 shares | 93.0¢ / 97.8¢ | $0.05 (5.2%) | $0.93 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 28, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.10 shares | 95.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.56 (0.8%) | $699 · 35 | $705 · 35 | $0 | Aug 14, 2025 6:19 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.27 (0.8%) | $270 · 17 | $272 · 17 | $0 | Aug 14, 2025 5:35 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.52 (0.6%) | $81.5 · 5 | $82 · 8 | $0 | Aug 12, 2025 12:48 PM | |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.56 (4.5%) | $57.3 · 5 | $59.8 · 5 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 8:44 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.10 shares | 90.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.9 (2.0%) | $291 · 16 | $297 · 14 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 2:08 PM | |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later? NoTechRedeemable 0.05 shares | 95.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.37 (0.7%) | $197 · 8 | $198 · 16 | $0 | Aug 7, 2025 10:33 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 94.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.09 (0.9%) | $810 · 32 | $817 · 37 | $0 | Aug 5, 2025 11:40 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8? NoMentionsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 93.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.93 (1.0%) | $572 · 24 | $578 · 27 | $0 | Aug 5, 2025 8:48 PM | |
 Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship? YesSportsRedeemable 0.09 shares | 84.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.1 (3.2%) | $193 · 13 | $199 · 8 | $0 | Aug 4, 2025 1:02 AM |
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