
Volume
$71K
Txns
871
Traders
191
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2025
On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | maniputakl | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +832.00 | $831 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +832.00 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.4¢ | +998.15 | $3.99 | |
| 1y | SomeBodyOnceToldMe | Yes / 99.9¢ | -130.54 | $130 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +566.06 | $0.57 | |
| 1y | 0x6f7a85Bd0B2986281EFA4ED6F41e364426C6C585-1736833487648 | No / 0.2¢ | +37.79 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,119.11 | $2.11K | |
| 1y | SomeBodyOnceToldMe | Yes / 99.9¢ | -275.57 | $275 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Roeq | Yes / 99.5¢ | -143.15 | $142 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.4¢ | +1.85 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Kingofguru | No / 0.5¢ | -145.00 | $0.72 | |
| 1y | Kingofguru | No / 0.7¢ | +145.00 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -145.00 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | vCxnZjBuKs | No / 0.5¢ | -240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | Roeq | Yes / 99.5¢ | -240.00 | $239 | |
| 1y | ImruDwkOsp | No / 0.5¢ | -240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | vCxnZjBuKs | No / 0.5¢ | +240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | ImruDwkOsp | No / 0.5¢ | +240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | MXfWhnKwiX | No / 0.5¢ | -240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | nPhSxNHbuj | No / 0.5¢ | -240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | MXfWhnKwiX | No / 0.5¢ | +240.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | nPhSxNHbuj | No / 0.5¢ | +240.00 | $1.2 |
1–25
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No 97%$56.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume