Volume
$2K
Txns
207
Traders
57
Fees
$10
Liquidity
$5,195
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 85%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Yes 60%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes 57%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14m | donthackme | No / 92.0¢ | +1.91 | $1.77 | |
| 14m | 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111 | No / 92.0¢ | -1.91 | $1.76 | |
| 32m | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 91.0¢ | +26.00 | $23.7 | |
| 32m | 0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 32m | Numitus1994 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +21.00 | $1.89 | |
| 3h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +30.37 | $2.73 | |
| 3h | DeepDitch | Yes / 8.7¢ | -30.37 | $2.63 | |
| 13h | 0x9687...091b7c | Yes / 10.2¢ | +6.00 | $0.63 | |
| 13h | 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111 | No / 90.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.5 | |
| 13h | Anon321321 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.11 | |
| 15h | TraderProMax | Yes / 7.0¢ | +25.00 | $1.75 | |
| 15h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 5.2¢ | -55.37 | $2.85 | |
| 15h | DeepDitch | Yes / 4.0¢ | +30.37 | $1.21 | |
| 16h | PPMT | Yes / 12.0¢ | +30.00 | $3.6 | |
| 16h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 11.0¢ | +10.59 | $1.16 | |
| 16h | hinis | Yes / 11.3¢ | -40.59 | $4.6 | |
| 16h | Elton123 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +14.41 | $1.59 | |
| 16h | pelys | Yes / 10.6¢ | -55.00 | $5.83 | |
| 16h | hinis | Yes / 11.0¢ | +40.59 | $4.46 | |
| 16h | Bodytobody | Yes / 11.6¢ | -55.00 | $6.37 | |
| 16h | pelys | Yes / 12.0¢ | +55.00 | $6.6 | |
| 16h | wfsxfwetrdsf | Yes / 12.5¢ | -44.78 | $5.62 | |
| 16h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 13.0¢ | +44.78 | $5.82 | |
| 16h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 13.5¢ | -44.78 | $6.05 | |
| 16h | wfsxfwetrdsf | Yes / 14.0¢ | +44.78 | $6.27 |
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