Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
ActiveVolume
$51K
Txns
684
Traders
180
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$33
Volume
$51K
Txns
684
Traders
180
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$33
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | iliabouchouev | No / 42.0¢ | -2.32 | $0.97 | |
| 3h | HerrieDavis | Yes / 57.0¢ | -2.32 | $1.32 | |
| 3d | 418Imateapot | Yes / 33.0¢ | +3.66 | $1.24 | |
| 3d | PPMT | Yes / 33.0¢ | -3.66 | $1.21 | |
| 4d | PPMT | Yes / 33.0¢ | -3.03 | $1 | |
| 4d | soisson-yan | Yes / 33.0¢ | +3.03 | $1.03 | |
| 16d | Talyxion | No / 49.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.45 | |
| 16d | Hakei. | No / 49.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.5 | |
| 17d | oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e0 | No / 94.0¢ | +7.15 | $6.74 | |
| 17d | PPMT | Yes / 6.0¢ | +7.15 | $0.43 | |
| 18d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 60.0¢ | -48.41 | $29 | |
| 18d | 418Imateapot | Yes / 60.0¢ | +100.00 | $61 | |
| 18d | 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802 | No / 40.0¢ | +14.00 | $5.6 | |
| 18d | Lavincey | No / 40.0¢ | +37.59 | $15 | |
| 20d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 60.0¢ | -4.54 | $2.72 | |
| 20d | 0x952113b09BCc9B00678118Fa336569781E158FB6-1769014377956 | No / 39.0¢ | -4.54 | $1.77 | |
| 23d | bmtr | Yes / 67.9¢ | +196.22 | $135 | |
| 23d | 27kgfdogodgfg | No / 33.0¢ | +12.10 | $3.99 | |
| 23d | 27kgfdogodgfg | No / 32.0¢ | +9.12 | $2.92 | |
| 23d | Lavincey | No / 32.0¢ | +175.00 | $56 | |
| 23d | SaucePolly1 | No / 33.0¢ | +3.30 | $1.09 | |
| 23d | 7... | No / 32.1¢ | -3.30 | $1.06 | |
| 24d | S888 | Yes / 58.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.8 | |
| 24d | 27kgfdogodgfg | No / 41.0¢ | -7.96 | $3.26 | |
| 24d | cqk | No / 41.6¢ | +17.96 | $7.64 |
1–25
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