
Volume
$53K
Txns
733
Traders
193
Fees
$6
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 100%$697Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.52Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 100%$213Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 100%$369Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 78%$82.3Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 93%$2.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Jobone | Yes / 99.0¢ | +21.10 | $20.9 | |
| 3d | Phanta | Yes / 99.0¢ | +23.21 | $23 | |
| 3d | 0x3B81cc45c51Af33296209d8734a6Bc0B60D8B68B-1764598227122 | No / 1.0¢ | +44.31 | $0.46 | |
| 3d | The-Joker | Yes / 99.0¢ | +211.00 | $209 | |
| 3d | Lavincey | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3d | Hakei. | No / 1.0¢ | +111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 3d | Hakei. | Yes / 25.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.58 | |
| 3d | 0xBe9fD078456503f1a5d9115d1ac6D9A7eb42014a-1775933424954 | No / 75.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.5 | |
| 3d | lightsout912 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 3d | 09F911029D74 | No / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 3d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 99.0¢ | -22.98 | $22.8 | |
| 3d | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 99.0¢ | +22.98 | $22.8 | |
| 3d | ronaldk | Yes / 63.0¢ | +6.33 | $4.05 | |
| 3d | snookiemookie | No / 37.0¢ | +6.33 | $2.34 | |
| 3d | simulacrum3 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +21.14 | $13.1 | |
| 3d | dodgerlive | No / 39.0¢ | +21.14 | $8.24 | |
| 3d | 56sdfdsfs | No / 43.0¢ | +7.80 | $3.35 | |
| 3d | icomar | No / 42.0¢ | -16.03 | $6.73 | |
| 3d | dodgerlive | No / 42.0¢ | +0.55 | $0.23 | |
| 3d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 57.0¢ | -7.68 | $4.38 | |
| 4d | iliabouchouev | No / 42.0¢ | -2.32 | $0.97 | |
| 4d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 57.0¢ | -2.32 | $1.32 | |
| 8d | 418Imateapot | Yes / 33.0¢ | +3.66 | $1.24 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 33.0¢ | -3.66 | $1.21 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 33.0¢ | -3.03 | $1 |
1–25