
Volume
$79K
Txns
2,292
Traders
210
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for June 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +279.69 | $0.28 | |
| 11mo | FlexPower | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 11mo | 87328bd0e93ubskxbo33 | No / 99.9¢ | +829.69 | $829 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +43.99 | $43.9 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.99 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +55.01 | $54.9 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.01 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +21.00 | $21 | |
| 11mo | lettuce | No / 99.8¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 11mo | rocky42014 | No / 99.8¢ | -40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | No / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 11mo | Anton986 | No / 99.3¢ | -28.00 | $27.8 | |
| 11mo | samir755soren | No / 99.3¢ | -64.00 | $63.6 | |
| 11mo | 0x18d4f39E5598d8626B28C8109c5d6e5824786DbD-1750154897602 | No / 99.3¢ | -23.00 | $22.8 | |
| 11mo | Ilona895 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -115.00 | $0.81 | |
| 11mo | samir755soren | No / 99.3¢ | -87.00 | $86.4 | |
| 11mo | annika207kiersten | No / 99.3¢ | -26.00 | $25.8 | |
| 11mo | kelly651grant | Yes / 0.7¢ | -113.00 | $0.79 |
1–25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
No 84%$5.68Kvolume
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 99%$28.1Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?
No 99%$1.75Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
No 98%$1.63Kvolume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 76%$413Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
Yes 60%$455volume