Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
125
Traders
24
Fees
$41
Liquidity
$2,913
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$4K
Txns
125
Traders
24
Fees
$41
Liquidity
$2,913
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record. Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | Railcool | Yes / 38.0¢ | +356.00 | $135 | |
| 10h | korda77 | No / 62.0¢ | +356.00 | $225 | |
| 10h | Railcool | Yes / 38.0¢ | +10.00 | $3.8 | |
| 10h | misterifresco | No / 62.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.32 | |
| 10h | Anon321321 | No / 60.0¢ | +374.00 | $229 | |
| 10h | Haradwaith | Yes / 39.0¢ | +25.00 | $9.75 | |
| 10h | supersmard | Yes / 40.0¢ | +374.00 | $150 | |
| 10h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 61.0¢ | +25.00 | $15.5 | |
| 10h | supersmard | Yes / 40.0¢ | +201.00 | $80.4 | |
| 10h | quietparcel | No / 61.0¢ | +125.00 | $77.7 | |
| 10h | products | No / 60.0¢ | +237.54 | $145 | |
| 10h | supersmard | Yes / 40.0¢ | +237.54 | $95 | |
| 10h | mustbethewater | No / 60.0¢ | +40.82 | $25 | |
| 10h | supersmard | Yes / 40.0¢ | +40.82 | $16.3 | |
| 10h | balthazar | No / 60.0¢ | +201.00 | $123 | |
| 10h | supersmard | Yes / 40.0¢ | +81.64 | $32.7 | |
| 10h | Haradwaith | Yes / 39.0¢ | +125.00 | $48.8 | |
| 10h | coldhot | No / 60.0¢ | +81.64 | $50 | |
| 23h | 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209 | No / 51.8¢ | -34.45 | $17.8 | |
| 23h | balthazar | No / 53.0¢ | +13.00 | $6.89 | |
| 23h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 47.0¢ | -11.45 | $5.38 | |
| 23h | products | No / 53.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.3 | |
| 23h | 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209 | No / 52.8¢ | -16.00 | $8.44 | |
| 23h | 0x60d8...a8915a | Yes / 46.0¢ | -16.00 | $7.36 | |
| 1d | thepolwinner | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.36 | $2.04 |
1–25
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 63%$849volume
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 99%$18.7Kvolume
Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 99%$696volume
Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
No 99%$586volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 68%$388Kvolume
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Yes 89%$139Kvolume