Will Giuseppe Padoan win the 2026 Rovigo by-election?

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).