Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).