
Volume
$749
Txns
68
Traders
26
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,177
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.31 | $0.07 | |
| 5h | masterdn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.69 | $0.03 | |
| 5h | simmmy | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +19.49 | $0.19 | |
| 5h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.69 | $0.03 | |
| 5h | simmmy | No / 99.7¢ | +100.16 | $99.9 | |
| 6h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6h | simmmy | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 7h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +11.53 | $0.12 | |
| 7h | 0x0820-4 | No / 99.0¢ | +11.53 | $11.4 | |
| 8h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +3.99 | $0.04 | |
| 8h | pd.unique | No / 99.0¢ | +3.99 | $3.95 | |
| 8h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +3.99 | $0.04 | |
| 8h | pd.unique | No / 99.0¢ | +3.99 | $3.95 | |
| 8h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +21.00 | $0.21 | |
| 8h | 0x0820-4 | No / 99.0¢ | +20.99 | $20.8 | |
| 9h | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 9h | androidman | No / 99.0¢ | +19.99 | $19.8 | |
| 10h | AJSV | Yes / 1.3¢ | +5.49 | $0.07 | |
| 10h | melchior1248 | No / 98.8¢ | +5.49 | $5.42 | |
| 10h | AJSV | Yes / 1.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.13 | |
| 10h | DkOYL | No / 98.8¢ | +9.99 | $9.87 | |
| 10h | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.07 | |
| 10h | DkOYL | No / 98.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.93 |
1–25
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1M volume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.34M volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.19M volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.28M volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 75% · $1.24M volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 98% · $330K volume