
Volume
$133K
Txns
1,832
Traders
342
Fees
$402
Ends
May 21, 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.42Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.93Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Yes 88%$206Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 96%$157Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 74%$1.07Mvolume
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$483Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -1.38 | $0 | |
| 1mo | 0x15578955c218d5B53Bb5C35232AAfae9aD76FE7d-1778701094223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.38 | $1.38 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | Floppyyy | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | Janet6080 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -11.02 | $11 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -11.02 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | DAny0784 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | ANCCCCC | Yes / 99.9¢ | -70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | m1dnam | Yes / 99.9¢ | -66.66 | $66.6 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -66.66 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | Slackjaw | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | peter239784 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -140.00 | $140 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | BigAII | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -55.55 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | Mearilol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -55.55 | $55.5 | |
| 1mo | Anthony6697 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.22 | $6.21 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -6.22 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | lranon2nd | No / 0.1¢ | -75.93 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | alexlism | Yes / 99.9¢ | -105.26 | $105 | |
| 1mo | Floppyyy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +29.33 | $29.3 |
1–25