
Volume
$359K
Txns
9,289
Traders
973
Fees
$91
Liquidity
$36,860
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +2.22 | $2.21 | |
| 1h | 0x38ab...6aab66 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -2.22 | $2.21 | |
| 1h | 0x3317...df76b4 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -1.75 | $1.74 | |
| 1h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +1.75 | $1.74 | |
| 2h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -1.78 | $1.77 | |
| 2h | 0x3317...df76b4 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1.78 | $1.77 | |
| 2h | 0x38ab...6aab66 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +2.44 | $2.43 | |
| 2h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -2.44 | $2.43 | |
| 5h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +0.14 | $0.14 | |
| 5h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.14 | $0.14 | |
| 6h | 0x227b...a376f9 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.80 | $0.8 | |
| 6h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +0.80 | $0.8 | |
| 7h | 0x227b...a376f9 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.36 | $0.36 | |
| 7h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +0.36 | $0.36 | |
| 7h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -1.20 | $1.19 | |
| 7h | 0x227b...a376f9 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1.20 | $1.19 | |
| 9h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -1.33 | $1.32 | |
| 9h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +1.33 | $1.32 | |
| 9h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1.47 | $1.46 | |
| 9h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -1.47 | $1.46 | |
| 10h | 0x1e63...1d7267 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.65 | $0.65 | |
| 10h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +0.65 | $0.65 | |
| 10h | miya2016 | Yes / 99.4¢ | +0.39 | $0.39 | |
| 10h | 0x1e63...1d7267 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.39 | $0.39 | |
| 11h | 0x3317...df76b4 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -0.19 | $0.19 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$59.3Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 81%$51.6Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$634Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 97%$225Kvolume