
Volume
$44
Txns
11
Traders
9
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$227
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 42ds | Yes / 10.0¢ | +1.11 | $0.11 | |
| 1h | Delpo | No / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 | |
| 6d | Hejdejakob | Yes / 33.0¢ | +10.00 | $3.3 | |
| 6d | snookiemookie | No / 68.0¢ | -9.41 | $6.4 | |
| 6d | Solalpha | No / 68.1¢ | +19.24 | $13.1 | |
| 7d | Mojito9 | Yes / 51.0¢ | -9.40 | $4.79 | |
| 7d | Chegildek | Yes / 51.5¢ | +9.31 | $4.79 | |
| 8d | snookiemookie | No / 50.5¢ | +9.32 | $4.71 | |
| 8d | Mojito9 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +9.41 | $4.71 | |
| 18d | IslandManic | Yes / 81.0¢ | +1.23 | $1 | |
| 18d | stra-l11 | No / 19.0¢ | +1.23 | $0.23 |
1–11
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
No 100%$792Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 84%$31Mvolume
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
No 99%$723Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
No 100%$405Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 99%$3.5Mvolume
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
No 70%$565Kvolume