
Volume
$82K
Txns
468
Traders
121
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement on October 30, 2025 (KST) in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Xi Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Xi weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Xi isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Xi's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Xi isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Xi is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$11.6Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.16Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 84%$1.67Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.54Mvolume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 80%$541Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +21.00 | $21 | |
| 7mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.9¢ | -21.00 | $21 | |
| 7mo | Vida2 | No / 99.9¢ | +71.00 | $70.9 | |
| 7mo | Vida2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | Earlygirl1 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,438.75 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Vida2 | No / 99.9¢ | +585.00 | $584 | |
| 7mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -846.25 | $3.38 | |
| 7mo | gdyhv | No / 99.6¢ | +7.50 | $7.47 | |
| 7mo | meropi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -85.00 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | metriiiK | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | Vida2 | No / 99.9¢ | +415.00 | $415 | |
| 7mo | meropi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -335.00 | $0.34 | |
| 7mo | metriiiK | Yes / 0.1¢ | +335.00 | $0.34 | |
| 7mo | metriiiK | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | meropi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | meropi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 7mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | xianyadan999 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | xianyadan999 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | 0x11f2919527C92b50A68916B2A8416b0920a963aE-1760859781420 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25