
Volume
$67K
Txns
902
Traders
146
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$22.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 52%$4.84Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.72Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.54Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0x2b36...9c473b | Yes / 99.6¢ | -8.70 | $8.66 | |
| 4mo | 0x5dDde3B22F24AE9bf2de418882437F84D1990014-1765425723126 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1.26 | $1.25 | |
| 4mo | zxcursed121 | No / 0.4¢ | -7.44 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +132.00 | $0.13 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +232.00 | $0.23 | |
| 4mo | leiger | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,999.40 | $3K | |
| 4mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 4mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +46.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.40 | $100 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +46.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +118.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +216.00 | $0.22 | |
| 4mo | 51lemons | Yes / 99.7¢ | -101.02 | $101 | |
| 4mo | ProfessionalPunter | Yes / 99.7¢ | +101.02 | $101 | |
| 4mo | 0x5dDde3B22F24AE9bf2de418882437F84D1990014-1765425723126 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +512.79 | $511 | |
| 4mo | tktt | Yes / 99.6¢ | -512.79 | $511 | |
| 4mo | tktt | Yes / 99.6¢ | -100.40 | $100 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.40 | $100 | |
| 4mo | zxcursed121 | No / 0.4¢ | -7.43 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | tktt | Yes / 99.6¢ | -7.43 | $7.4 | |
| 4mo | 4... | No / 0.4¢ | +12.79 | $0.05 |
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