
Volume
$6K
Txns
83
Traders
28
Fees
$5
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0x6fEc0fd0e5562F0cA9a709417d4492aadaC43bE3-1776853750442 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +72.09 | $72 | |
| 2d | BalancedFury | Yes / 99.9¢ | -72.09 | $72 | |
| 2d | 0x8931...f3a90c | Yes / 99.9¢ | +678.51 | $678 | |
| 2d | 0x4aBeE67107D088dC525180C6F3fdEB5dfe9637b7-1779272203758 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -174.51 | $174 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +504.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | em...well | No / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +496.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | ultralisk | No / 0.5¢ | +89.00 | $0.45 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.2¢ | +250.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.4¢ | +125.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | proposal123 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.6¢ | +1.66 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | Shekel | No / 0.6¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | 0x8580...139e1c | Yes / 99.4¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 2d | 0xe5a4...df8eac | Yes / 99.4¢ | +1.66 | $1.65 | |
| 2d | 0xD8ec25306a9238ddfFb3a5d275059d3EB799157D-1765725745194 | No / 3.7¢ | +27.03 | $1.04 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 3.7¢ | -27.03 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0xD8ec25306a9238ddfFb3a5d275059d3EB799157D-1765725745194 | No / 3.7¢ | +27.03 | $1.04 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 3.7¢ | -27.03 | $1 | |
| 3d | ultralisk | No / 1.2¢ | +9.00 | $0.11 | |
| 3d | 0x8931...f3a90c | Yes / 98.9¢ | +429.25 | $425 | |
| 3d | MaxLecter | Yes / 99.0¢ | -170.25 | $169 | |
| 3d | Shekel | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 2.0¢ | +50.00 | $1 |
1–25
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 100%$0volume
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 94%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 64%$0volume