
Volume
$32K
Txns
250
Traders
74
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 81%$54.9Kvolume
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 100%$38.5Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 92%$90.3Kvolume
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 99%$364Kvolume
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
No 52%$42.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
No 82%$3.41Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.65 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -21.65 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | gklom | No / 99.9¢ | -537.34 | $537 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | LuckyPierrot | No / 99.9¢ | +1,187.34 | $1.19K | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | ChoiceMeteor2520 | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | notawinner99 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0xbf56...222f4a | No / 99.0¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 1.5¢ | +25.00 | $0.38 | |
| 2mo | dsosods | Yes / 1.4¢ | +60.00 | $0.84 | |
| 2mo | PX5300 | No / 98.5¢ | -20.00 | $19.7 | |
| 2mo | notawinner99 | No / 98.6¢ | +105.00 | $103 | |
| 2mo | 0xbf56...222f4a | No / 98.8¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 2mo | dsosods | Yes / 1.2¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | Yes / 2.9¢ | -50.00 | $1.45 | |
| 2mo | human.bean | Yes / 2.9¢ | +50.00 | $1.45 | |
| 2mo | notawinner99 | No / 97.0¢ | +6.82 | $6.62 | |
| 2mo | 10gukjgjhgh | Yes / 2.8¢ | -8.90 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | PX5300 | No / 97.1¢ | +20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 2mo | FlashTradeOracle | Yes / 2.9¢ | +35.72 | $1.03 | |
| 2mo | FlashTradeOracle | Yes / 3.0¢ | +33.34 | $1 |
1–25