
Volume
$6K
Txns
280
Traders
83
Fees
$7
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 27d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 27d | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 27d | Palace8709 | No / 99.9¢ | +461.00 | $461 | |
| 27d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.70 | $0.03 | |
| 27d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +120.30 | $0.12 | |
| 27d | 5-min | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 27d | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +112.00 | $0.22 | |
| 27d | Abstrat | No / 99.8¢ | +112.00 | $112 | |
| 27d | tripsomewheresouth | Yes / 0.3¢ | +83.12 | $0.25 | |
| 27d | overwatch06 | No / 99.7¢ | +83.12 | $82.9 | |
| 28d | Hugin-og-Munin | Yes / 0.2¢ | -6.91 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.91 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | aHjCz | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3.00 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.00 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +99.99 | $0.2 | |
| 28d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 28d | NeevS | Yes / 0.2¢ | -199.99 | $0.48 | |
| 29d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.24 | |
| 29d | Semantic | No / 98.8¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 29d | davidceto | No / 97.9¢ | +5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 29d | VonVyaak | Yes / 2.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | ponik3412 | No / 96.9¢ | +5.16 | $5.01 | |
| 1mo | flexer78 | Yes / 3.1¢ | +5.16 | $0.16 | |
| 1mo | 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220 | No / 75.3¢ | -3.23 | $2.43 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 96%$3.38Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 62%$178Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 89%$82.8Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 59%$50.5Kvolume