
Volume
$31K
Txns
1,374
Traders
253
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Trades
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 75%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 73%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
No 60%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | eniwnfno3344 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Barbs94 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | Ryuqwq | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | srthrthdfghjgujy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | wargergreg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.15 | $3.15 | |
| 3mo | tiger11er | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | wwder | No / 0.1¢ | +3.15 | $0 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | frefgewwef34rt43 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | KHSFdfs | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Griahasd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | grtsdtgtrdjhhgaerftga | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 0x16B3321C87d49CA0E72c16169855734B9D630C90-1775433072870 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Charybdis11 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.15 | $8.14 | |
| 3mo | sgfw4234 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Chariclo112 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | pelicanking | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | ssw23 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 |
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