
Volume
$38K
Txns
998
Traders
145
Fees
$128
Ends
May 14, 2026
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.4Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.91Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 73%$1.07Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 94%$150Kvolume
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$479Kvolume
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Yes 74%$65.6Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | IWannaRock | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | alexjianwang | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | penicillin. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | alexjianwang | No / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 1mo | godgivennow | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | penicillin. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.31 | |
| 1mo | Daniel.Wang | Yes / 0.3¢ | -100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | mikecoin1 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -295.22 | $0.57 | |
| 1mo | TPAA | No / 99.8¢ | -295.22 | $295 | |
| 1mo | TPAA | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1mo | Daniel.Wang | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1mo | Started-with-20-USD | Yes / 0.2¢ | -17.34 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | TPAA | No / 99.8¢ | -17.34 | $17.3 | |
| 1mo | Stonktrader | No / 99.6¢ | +1,495.98 | $1.49K | |
| 1mo | Notagolfer | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1,495.98 | $5.98 | |
| 1mo | Notagolfer | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1,004.02 | $4.02 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.6¢ | +1,004.02 | $1K | |
| 1mo | gydmasg | No / 99.4¢ | -275.72 | $274 | |
| 1mo | Stonktrader | No / 99.5¢ | +1,765.66 | $1.76K | |
| 1mo | mikecoin1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1,489.94 | $7.45 | |
| 1mo | gydmasg | No / 99.4¢ | -30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 1mo | quietparcel | No / 99.4¢ | +30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 1mo | Daniel.Wang | No / 99.4¢ | +50.00 | $49.7 | |
| 1mo | gydmasg | No / 99.4¢ | -50.00 | $49.7 | |
| 1mo | quietparcel | No / 99.4¢ | +12.00 | $11.9 |
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