
Volume
$230
Txns
28
Traders
8
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Text-to-Image Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image) when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | DkOYL | No / 99.8¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 3m | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 4m | DkOYL | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 4m | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4m | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4m | DkOYL | No / 99.8¢ | +9.00 | $8.98 | |
| 4m | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4m | bustybbe... | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 5m | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5m | bustybbe... | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 3h | bjprolo | Yes / 0.3¢ | -89.00 | $0.24 | |
| 3h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +72.80 | $0.22 | |
| 3h | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.20 | $0.03 | |
| 3h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.5¢ | +11.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3h | DkOYL | No / 99.5¢ | +11.00 | $10.9 | |
| 3h | bjprolo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +68.00 | $0.27 | |
| 3h | aHjCz | No / 99.6¢ | +68.00 | $67.7 | |
| 3h | DkOYL | No / 99.6¢ | +21.00 | $20.9 | |
| 3h | bjprolo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +21.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +16.20 | $0.05 | |
| 7h | bjprolo | Yes / 0.3¢ | -16.20 | $0.05 | |
| 7h | bjprolo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.20 | $0.03 | |
| 7h | DkOYL | Yes / 0.2¢ | -16.20 | $0.03 | |
| 10h | 7... | Yes / 2.0¢ | +9.22 | $0.18 | |
| 10h | Hugin-og-Munin | No / 98.0¢ | +9.22 | $9.04 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Yes 78%$0volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
No 56%$0volume