Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?
ActiveVolume
$789
Txns
103
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$290
Ends
Volume
$789
Txns
103
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$290
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 77%$1.56Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 58%$1.36Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 90%$1.44Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 91%$2.46Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 62%$837Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 76%$970Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Corlys | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 11d | PolyJaguar | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11d | mustbethewater | No / 99.8¢ | +40.01 | $39.9 | |
| 11d | mildwindow27 | No / 99.8¢ | +225.00 | $225 | |
| 11d | PolyJaguar | Yes / 0.2¢ | +40.01 | $0.08 | |
| 11d | PolyJaguar | Yes / 0.2¢ | +225.00 | $0.45 | |
| 20d | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.2¢ | -22.07 | $0.04 | |
| 20d | 13klklas | Yes / 0.2¢ | -9.62 | $0.02 | |
| 20d | PolyJaguar | Yes / 0.3¢ | +63.69 | $0.18 | |
| 20d | 13klklas | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 20d | 13klklas | Yes / 0.4¢ | -17.00 | $0.07 | |
| 20d | no1biao | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 25d | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.2¢ | -0.43 | $0 | |
| 25d | 0x9efaf29B1256F2EE16B16C32eb8ab4aFC76a9332-1766657786265 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.43 | $5.42 | |
| 25d | 13klklas | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 13klklas | Yes / 43.0¢ | -2.02 | $0.87 | |
| 1mo | sythar | No / 55.8¢ | -2.02 | $1.13 | |
| 1mo | 13klklas | Yes / 45.0¢ | -1.05 | $0.47 | |
| 1mo | hotpato | No / 97.1¢ | +1.49 | $1.45 | |
| 1mo | 13klklas | Yes / 3.0¢ | +1.49 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x55d4...1032e2 | No / 53.8¢ | -1.05 | $0.56 | |
| 1mo | 13klklas | Yes / 6.0¢ | +2.02 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | sythar | No / 94.0¢ | +2.02 | $1.9 | |
| 1mo | 0x55d4...1032e2 | No / 95.0¢ | +1.05 | $1 | |
| 1mo | PolyJaguar | Yes / 5.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.05 |
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