Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ResolvedVolume
$10K
Txns
126
Traders
47
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$10K
Txns
126
Traders
47
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +322.32 | $322 | |
| 2mo | 0xc54DD852Ab86e409C69667F6295780b753C88be1-1771136321154 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -322.32 | $322 | |
| 2mo | 0xc54DD852Ab86e409C69667F6295780b753C88be1-1771136321154 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,206.08 | $2.2K | |
| 2mo | 15rob | No / 0.1¢ | -6.08 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | EnderingSpoon | No / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | PandaAgain | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | EnderingSpoon | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,434.58 | $2.43K | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | ConstantineVIII | No / 0.2¢ | +9.58 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | jjeeesusssus | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | O3es7c61 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -58.00 | $56.8 | |
| 2mo | Tk9omwbq | No / 2.0¢ | -66.00 | $1.32 | |
| 2mo | O3es7c61 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -66.00 | $64.7 | |
| 2mo | G08dqpsp | No / 2.0¢ | -58.00 | $1.16 | |
| 2mo | S8k9etgn | Yes / 98.0¢ | -60.00 | $58.8 | |
| 2mo | O3es7c61 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -29.00 | $28.4 | |
| 2mo | S8k9etgn | Yes / 98.0¢ | -40.00 | $39.2 | |
| 2mo | R9x6a0b1 | No / 2.0¢ | -60.00 | $1.2 | |
| 2mo | Bcxmhdqr | No / 2.0¢ | -69.00 | $1.38 | |
| 2mo | Way43qbo | No / 2.0¢ | -60.00 | $1.2 | |
| 2mo | Yxmm9ec2 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -50.00 | $49 |
1–25
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