Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ResolvedVolume
$13K
Txns
143
Traders
65
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$13K
Txns
143
Traders
65
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Petrash | Yes / 99.9¢ | -333.98 | $334 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Yes / 99.9¢ | +333.98 | $334 | |
| 3mo | polopilo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +333.00 | $333 | |
| 3mo | 0xFB50aa97B80f63E8d25533Eb14b5dA638011257d-1772957667999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -333.00 | $333 | |
| 3mo | MistahFox | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,977.27 | $3.97K | |
| 3mo | Nygaard | Yes / 99.8¢ | -317.27 | $317 | |
| 3mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 3mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +131.00 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +234.00 | $0.23 | |
| 3mo | Diplopia | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +278.00 | $0.28 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,078.08 | $1.08K | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +110.08 | $0.11 | |
| 3mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +220.00 | $0.22 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.95 | $1.95 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +1.95 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.95 | $1.95 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +1.95 | $0 | |
| 3mo | MistahFox | Yes / 97.8¢ | +60.00 | $58.7 | |
| 3mo | manual-trader-111 | No / 2.2¢ | +60.00 | $1.32 | |
| 3mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +60.00 | $0.6 | |
| 3mo | 418Imateapot | Yes / 99.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.94 |
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