
Volume
$596
Txns
65
Traders
16
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$467
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.44Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 85%$108Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 52%$186Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 59%$65.4Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 43.0¢ | +6.28 | $2.76 | |
| 3d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 43.0¢ | -6.28 | $2.7 | |
| 5d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 43.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.2 | |
| 5d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 43.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.15 | |
| 10d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 43.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.2 | |
| 10d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 43.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.15 | |
| 26d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 21.0¢ | +35.17 | $7.62 | |
| 26d | rx8549o867549 | No / 79.0¢ | +6.32 | $4.99 | |
| 26d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 21.0¢ | -28.85 | $6.06 | |
| 26d | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -7.80 | $1.56 | |
| 26d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 20.0¢ | +7.80 | $1.61 | |
| 27d | hithitfar | Yes / 17.0¢ | +15.65 | $2.75 | |
| 27d | AJSV | No / 83.0¢ | +15.65 | $13 | |
| 28d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 28.0¢ | +28.85 | $8.08 | |
| 28d | Mojito9 | No / 72.0¢ | -9.40 | $6.77 | |
| 28d | hithitfar | Yes / 27.2¢ | -63.25 | $17.2 | |
| 28d | TraderProMax | Yes / 28.0¢ | +25.00 | $7 | |
| 1mo | Mojito9 | No / 67.0¢ | +9.48 | $6.35 | |
| 1mo | hithitfar | Yes / 33.0¢ | +9.48 | $3.21 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 35.0¢ | +26.92 | $9.42 | |
| 1mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 33.0¢ | +8.00 | $2.64 | |
| 1mo | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 34.0¢ | +16.28 | $5.54 | |
| 1mo | FLTman | No / 75.0¢ | -5.80 | $4.35 | |
| 1mo | hithitfar | Yes / 32.5¢ | -57.00 | $18.5 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 30.0¢ | +7.60 | $2.28 |
1–25