Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$12K
Txns
617
Traders
126
Fees
$54
Liquidity
$1,087
Ends
Volume
$12K
Txns
617
Traders
126
Fees
$54
Liquidity
$1,087
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 58%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.25Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.89Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$833Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 91%$987Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
No 89%$85.3Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | maksims55 | Yes / 12.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.6 | |
| 4h | jovidalao | No / 88.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.42 | |
| 7h | knowerofmarkets | No / 89.0¢ | -8.00 | $7.12 | |
| 7h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 10.6¢ | -8.00 | $0.85 | |
| 14h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 73.0¢ | +0.33 | $0.24 | |
| 14h | 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951 | No / 72.2¢ | -0.33 | $0.24 | |
| 14h | Colala | Yes / 16.0¢ | +30.00 | $4.8 | |
| 14h | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 86.0¢ | -51.11 | $44 | |
| 14h | TraderProMax | Yes / 16.0¢ | +25.00 | $4 | |
| 14h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.65 | |
| 14h | rebate8784 | Yes / 13.8¢ | -202.31 | $27.9 | |
| 14h | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 85.0¢ | -51.11 | $43.4 | |
| 14h | knowerofmarkets | No / 89.0¢ | -30.09 | $26.8 | |
| 14h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.65 | |
| 14h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.65 | |
| 15h | zxcursed121 | No / 83.0¢ | +8.00 | $6.64 | |
| 15h | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 80.0¢ | -138.76 | $111 | |
| 15h | wasabeej | No / 80.0¢ | +100.00 | $80 | |
| 15h | MythicalScissors | Yes / 18.0¢ | -30.76 | $5.54 | |
| 15h | 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951 | No / 72.2¢ | -0.89 | $0.64 | |
| 15h | romanew-crypto | Yes / 27.0¢ | -0.89 | $0.24 | |
| 1d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 84.0¢ | -2.08 | $1.75 | |
| 1d | 0xe60ccDFcCF2935D6B0DEBD3d48CEf935A6a8bf00-1780668973182 | Yes / 15.5¢ | -2.08 | $0.32 | |
| 1d | Annihilation | No / 81.0¢ | +159.92 | $131 | |
| 1d | calm.rabbit | No / 81.0¢ | -159.92 | $130 |
1–25