
Volume
$331
Txns
33
Traders
8
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week. The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released. Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 1.0¢ | +30.12 | $0.3 | |
| 1h | melchior1248 | No / 99.0¢ | +30.12 | $29.8 | |
| 2h | addi444 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -17.30 | $1.38 | |
| 2h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 9.0¢ | -59.29 | $5.34 | |
| 2h | Kokonoob | Yes / 8.8¢ | +76.59 | $6.97 | |
| 3h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 1.0¢ | +10.10 | $0.1 | |
| 3h | manbo3 | No / 99.0¢ | +10.10 | $10 | |
| 3h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 1.0¢ | +78.81 | $0.79 | |
| 3h | melchior1248 | No / 99.0¢ | +78.81 | $78.1 | |
| 3h | stra-h2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.13 | $0.05 | |
| 3h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 1.0¢ | +26.09 | $0.26 | |
| 3h | melchior1248 | No / 99.0¢ | +31.22 | $30.9 | |
| 4h | stra-h2 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +13.11 | $0.26 | |
| 4h | addi444 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +12.03 | $0.24 | |
| 4h | 0x195D28A9756f90e305752fb19e50a7847B93b32C-1768740003963 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4h | stra-h2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +94.86 | $0.95 | |
| 4h | melchior1248 | No / 98.8¢ | +125.00 | $124 | |
| 5h | stra-h2 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.27 | $0.11 | |
| 5h | DkOYL | No / 98.0¢ | +5.27 | $5.17 | |
| 5h | stra-h2 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.27 | $0.11 | |
| 5h | DkOYL | No / 98.0¢ | +5.27 | $5.17 | |
| 5h | stra-h2 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.27 | $0.11 | |
| 5h | DkOYL | No / 98.0¢ | +5.27 | $5.17 | |
| 5h | stra-h2 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.27 | $0.11 | |
| 5h | DkOYL | No / 98.0¢ | +5.27 | $5.17 |
1–25
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.1M volume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.42M volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.24M volume
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Yes 82% · $85.3K volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.31M volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99% · $289K volume