Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
ActiveVolume
$66K
Txns
2,736
Traders
354
Fees
$30
Liquidity
$14,124
Ends
Volume
$66K
Txns
2,736
Traders
354
Fees
$30
Liquidity
$14,124
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | zhaojiang | No / 97.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.86 | |
| 1h | PPMT | No / 97.1¢ | -5.00 | $4.86 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | Yes / 3.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.31 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | Yes / 3.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.62 | |
| 2h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 96.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.7 | |
| 2h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 96.9¢ | +20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 2h | balthazar | No / 95.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.1 | |
| 2h | Bigggggggg | No / 94.9¢ | +88.00 | $83.5 | |
| 2h | balthazar | No / 95.2¢ | +20.00 | $19 | |
| 2h | donthackme | No / 95.7¢ | +56.93 | $54.5 | |
| 2h | plainfolder | No / 95.5¢ | +30.00 | $28.6 | |
| 2h | balthazar | No / 95.1¢ | +30.00 | $28.5 | |
| 2h | grinder456 | Yes / 4.8¢ | +274.93 | $13.6 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | No / 95.0¢ | +30.00 | $28.5 | |
| 2h | donthackme | No / 95.7¢ | +265.84 | $254 | |
| 2h | donthackme | No / 95.8¢ | +102.16 | $97.9 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | No / 95.9¢ | +30.00 | $28.8 | |
| 2h | plainfolder | No / 95.8¢ | +30.00 | $28.7 | |
| 2h | grinder456 | Yes / 4.3¢ | +478.00 | $21.1 | |
| 2h | mustbethewater | No / 95.7¢ | +50.00 | $47.9 | |
| 2h | grinder456 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +307.08 | $12.8 | |
| 2h | 0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -307.08 | $12.3 | |
| 2h | 0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -73.04 | $2.92 | |
| 2h | grinder456 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +73.04 | $3.03 | |
| 2h | 0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -18.00 | $0.72 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 58%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.25Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.9Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.9Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$833Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 62%$109Kvolume