Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?
ResolvedVolume
$325K
Txns
3,296
Traders
155
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 11, 2025
Volume
$325K
Txns
3,296
Traders
155
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 11, 2025
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending May 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in May 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.23Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$436Kvolume
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$289Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.0¢ | +18.17 | $18 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 99.0¢ | -18.17 | $18 | |
| 1y | Rocky931 | No / 98.0¢ | -11.01 | $10.8 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 99.0¢ | -37.57 | $37.2 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 99.0¢ | -12.92 | $12.8 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -48.58 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -12.92 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 15.4¢ | -12.30 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | Rocky931 | No / 98.0¢ | -1.99 | $1.95 | |
| 1y | NotReallySure | Yes / 18.0¢ | +10.31 | $1.86 | |
| 1y | NotReallySure | Yes / 18.0¢ | +9.69 | $1.74 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 82.0¢ | +9.69 | $7.95 | |
| 1y | sanalid | Yes / 21.0¢ | +185.17 | $38.9 | |
| 1y | danielvorcaro | Yes / 21.0¢ | -185.17 | $38.9 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 80.0¢ | -13.33 | $10.7 | |
| 1y | 0x1de4...b8796d | No / 80.0¢ | +13.33 | $10.7 | |
| 1y | trump.slonic | No / 79.0¢ | -44.83 | $35.4 | |
| 1y | danielvorcaro | Yes / 21.0¢ | -44.83 | $9.41 | |
| 1y | sanalid | Yes / 28.0¢ | +26.23 | $7.34 | |
| 1y | danielvorcaro | Yes / 28.0¢ | -26.23 | $7.34 | |
| 1y | danielvorcaro | Yes / 28.0¢ | -23.77 | $6.66 | |
| 1y | sanalid | Yes / 28.0¢ | +23.77 | $6.66 | |
| 1y | sanalid | Yes / 28.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.8 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 72.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.2 | |
| 1y | sanalid | Yes / 28.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.8 |
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