
Volume
$74K
Txns
4,196
Traders
273
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 11, 2026
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending January 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in January 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on February 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 58%$4.31Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x0C55bcF7cCE56aC36BEd0E0c5491cB6fCA037A73-1770947040471 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -59.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | gpunfv1 | No / 99.9¢ | -59.00 | $58.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x07597f53539209c2E74B64dbBDCD6623d43E9294-1768242256531 | No / 99.9¢ | -59.56 | $59.5 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -59.56 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | FMM89 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.34 | $3.34 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.34 | $0 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.16 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -8.16 | $8.15 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.61 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.61 | $10.6 | |
| 3mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.61 | $10.6 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.61 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.55 | $0 | |
| 3mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.55 | $1.55 | |
| 3mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.61 | $10.6 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.61 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.05 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 1356789 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.05 | $11 | |
| 3mo | isiba | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | spreadmaker7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | isiba | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +85.00 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 0.1¢ | -518.02 | $0.52 |
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