Will "American Fiction" win the Oscar for Best Picture?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if "American Fiction" wins the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.