
Volume
$38K
Txns
940
Traders
235
Fees
$8
Liquidity
$8,439
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 85%$59.3Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 83%$51.4Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$631Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$223Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | aviato | No / 94.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.4 | |
| 2d | Allegon | Yes / 5.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.57 | |
| 3d | DEGENKHAN | No / 92.0¢ | +12.50 | $11.5 | |
| 3d | 0x7c3e...866967 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1.05 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 91.6¢ | -1.30 | $1.19 | |
| 4d | DEGENKHAN | No / 92.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.2 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 94.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.22 | |
| 4d | aviato | No / 94.0¢ | -1.30 | $1.22 | |
| 6d | DEGENKHAN | No / 92.0¢ | +1.12 | $1.03 | |
| 6d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 91.6¢ | -1.12 | $1.03 | |
| 6d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 94.0¢ | +1.13 | $1.06 | |
| 6d | aviato | No / 94.0¢ | -1.13 | $1.06 | |
| 6d | DEGENKHAN | No / 93.0¢ | +12.20 | $11.4 | |
| 6d | PPMT | No / 93.0¢ | -12.20 | $11.3 | |
| 8d | mandapetarv | Yes / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1.05 | |
| 8d | PPMT | No / 92.0¢ | +12.50 | $11.5 | |
| 8d | cdst | Yes / 6.7¢ | -47.28 | $3.16 | |
| 8d | DFK | No / 93.0¢ | -47.28 | $44 | |
| 9d | BSS37 | Yes / 10.0¢ | -10.47 | $1.05 | |
| 9d | BlessingPath | Yes / 10.0¢ | +10.47 | $1.09 | |
| 14d | PPMT | No / 91.0¢ | -5.80 | $5.28 | |
| 14d | BSS37 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +100.00 | $8 | |
| 14d | DFK | No / 93.0¢ | -149.95 | $139 | |
| 14d | Tricusdoqp | Yes / 7.1¢ | -255.75 | $18.1 | |
| 14d | Deauratus | Yes / 10.0¢ | -10.00 | $1 |
1–25