
Volume
$78K
Txns
1,043
Traders
271
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.12Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$76.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.81Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 55%$741Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 99%$62.3Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 73%$53Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7,031.22 | $7.03 | |
| 1y | Justitia | No / 99.9¢ | -7,031.22 | $7.02K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,017.00 | $2.02 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,017.00 | $2.01K | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,983.00 | $2.98 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 1y | alchemys | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | senya | No / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 1y | FrankyFourFingers | No / 99.7¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +111.00 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.99K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,673.23 | $5.02 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +326.77 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | 220watt | No / 99.7¢ | +6.57 | $6.55 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +6.57 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +5,333.34 | $5.32K | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.34 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | aghalghahek | Yes / 0.3¢ | -64.56 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +64.56 | $0.19 |
1–25