
Volume
$78K
Txns
1,043
Traders
271
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 92%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 92%$0volume
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7,031.22 | $7.03 | |
| 1y | Justitia | No / 99.9¢ | -7,031.22 | $7.02K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,017.00 | $2.02 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,017.00 | $2.01K | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,983.00 | $2.98 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 1y | alchemys | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | senya | No / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 1y | FrankyFourFingers | No / 99.7¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +111.00 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.99K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,673.23 | $5.02 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +326.77 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | 220watt | No / 99.7¢ | +6.57 | $6.55 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +6.57 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | KimJonEn | No / 99.7¢ | +5,333.34 | $5.32K | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.34 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | aghalghahek | Yes / 0.3¢ | -64.56 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +64.56 | $0.19 |
1–25