
Volume
$13K
Txns
1,580
Traders
168
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2.28 | $0 | |
| 3mo | moneysaver1 | No / 99.9¢ | -25.00 | $25 | |
| 3mo | xesterming | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.72 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -2.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | zactest2 | No / 99.1¢ | -2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 3mo | Elec7 | No / 99.1¢ | -3.00 | $2.97 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -3.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -111.11 | $1 | |
| 3mo | IvanBetting138 | Yes / 0.9¢ | +111.11 | $1 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 1.5¢ | -56.50 | $0.85 | |
| 3mo | PollyForge | Yes / 1.4¢ | -5.50 | $0.08 | |
| 3mo | 0xaf0f...81e040 | No / 98.5¢ | -62.00 | $61.1 | |
| 3mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | VictoaTionin | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | JoseSG | No / 99.9¢ | -14.00 | $14 | |
| 3mo | JasSHS | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | JackAF | No / 99.9¢ | -11.00 | $11 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | zabaniya6666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | newguy666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x6Ab6cAc73867b6050C06fcc8FBE2e6599Dc03a89-1771548368891 | No / 99.9¢ | +75.00 | $74.9 |
1–25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 95%$0volume
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 86%$0volume
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume