
Volume
$23K
Txns
1,555
Traders
239
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.2¢ | -107.87 | $1.29 | |
| 3mo | urakan | No / 98.8¢ | -107.87 | $107 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.56 | $0 | |
| 3mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +1.56 | $1.56 | |
| 3mo | animal.bean | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | pd.unique | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | ZXWP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.98 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.98 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -58.69 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.69 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | oVyg7f | No / 99.0¢ | +78.30 | $77.5 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +78.30 | $0.78 | |
| 3mo | anciente | No / 99.0¢ | +210.00 | $208 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +211.70 | $2.12 | |
| 3mo | mymacbook | No / 99.0¢ | +211.70 | $210 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +210.00 | $2.1 | |
| 3mo | ZXWP | No / 99.0¢ | +12.11 | $12 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +12.11 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | mymacbook | No / 99.0¢ | +336.00 | $333 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +336.00 | $3.36 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +33.72 | $0.34 | |
| 3mo | vi. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +118.17 | $1.18 | |
| 3mo | animal.bean | Yes / 1.0¢ | -33.72 | $0.34 |
1–25
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No 90%$0volume
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-Au…
No 97%$0volume
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-Augu…
No 86%$0volume
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July…
Yes 70%$0volume
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes 80%$0volume
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No 77%$0volume