
Volume
$365
Txns
71
Traders
23
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$12,870
Ends
May 3, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 27, 2026, through May 3, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
No 100% · $75.2M volume
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
No 98% · $11.6M volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93% · $27.6M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $31.8M volume
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes 100% · $8.86M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
No 100% · $19.8M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +5.03 | $0.13 | |
| 3h | pd.unique | No / 97.5¢ | +5.03 | $4.9 | |
| 3h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +7.00 | $0.17 | |
| 3h | Anon321321 | No / 97.5¢ | +7.00 | $6.83 | |
| 3h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +7.79 | $0.19 | |
| 3h | e46m3 | No / 97.5¢ | +7.79 | $7.6 | |
| 3h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +7.79 | $0.19 | |
| 3h | nrynry | No / 97.5¢ | +7.79 | $7.6 | |
| 4h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +21.01 | $0.53 | |
| 4h | balthazar | No / 97.5¢ | +21.01 | $20.5 | |
| 8h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.13 | |
| 8h | daniel122134 | No / 97.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.88 | |
| 8h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.13 | |
| 8h | NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | No / 97.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.88 | |
| 8h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.5 | |
| 8h | balthazar | No / 97.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.5 | |
| 10h | zeudeaur | Yes / 3.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.6 | |
| 10h | yyoo1520 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +10.00 | $0.25 | |
| 10h | 0xad62...782aa9 | No / 97.2¢ | +30.00 | $29.1 | |
| 10h | J25525 | Yes / 3.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.62 | |
| 10h | Skovorodnikov | No / 96.9¢ | -20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 17h | adspokposs | Yes / 3.5¢ | +10.00 | $0.35 | |
| 17h | balthazar | No / 96.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.65 | |
| 17h | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.7 | |
| 17h | pd.unique | No / 96.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.3 |
1–25