
Volume
$227K
Txns
1,913
Traders
418
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 18, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 18, 2024. If the Silver Bulletin's election forecast for October 18, is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 18 when the datapoint first becomes available. If no datapoint for October 18 is available by October 22, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 18.
Trades
Will Kamala lead by 2.5+ August 30?
No 100%$0volume
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
No 100%$0volume
Will Kamala lead by 1.5-1.9 August 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6?
No 100%$0volume
Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Harris 100%$0volume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Betarrr | Harris / 0.9¢ | +555.56 | $5 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +555.56 | $551 | |
| 1y | Betarrr | Harris / 0.9¢ | +111.11 | $1 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +111.11 | $110 | |
| 1y | Dress345 | Trump / 99.1¢ | -1.85 | $1.83 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +1.85 | $1.83 | |
| 1y | Lman | Trump / 99.1¢ | -39.10 | $38.7 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +39.10 | $38.7 | |
| 1y | Commodore | Trump / 99.1¢ | -0.67 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +0.67 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | rpo | Trump / 99.9¢ | +8.60 | $8.59 | |
| 1y | Justsomeguy-437 | Trump / 99.3¢ | -36.55 | $36.3 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.1¢ | +27.95 | $27.7 | |
| 1y | papasmurf | Trump / 99.9¢ | -455.04 | $455 | |
| 1y | rpo | Trump / 99.9¢ | +455.04 | $455 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 95.0¢ | +18.00 | $17.1 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | yns | Trump / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 |
1–25