
Volume
$612K
Txns
2,181
Traders
332
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | InsiderrrZ | Harris / 99.7¢ | -605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Sonic2 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | ACat-367 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | Cincinnatus17 | Harris / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.9¢ | +14,888.88 | $14.9K | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.9¢ | -14,838.88 | $14.8K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.8¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | FutureTech | Harris / 99.8¢ | -55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -26.31 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Polojoki | Harris / 99.6¢ | -26.31 | $26.2 | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.8¢ | -10,101.30 | $10.1K | |
| 1y | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump / 0.2¢ | -10,101.30 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -50.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | tyl88 | Trump / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | viltalik | Harris / 99.7¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | gambolr | Harris / 99.6¢ | -200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -200.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Thoer | Harris / 99.6¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -800.00 | $797 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -800.00 | $3.2 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume