
Volume
$612K
Txns
2,181
Traders
332
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
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Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | InsiderrrZ | Harris / 99.7¢ | -605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Sonic2 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | ACat-367 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | Cincinnatus17 | Harris / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.9¢ | +14,888.88 | $14.9K | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.9¢ | -14,838.88 | $14.8K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.8¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | FutureTech | Harris / 99.8¢ | -55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -26.31 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Polojoki | Harris / 99.6¢ | -26.31 | $26.2 | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.8¢ | -10,101.30 | $10.1K | |
| 1y | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump / 0.2¢ | -10,101.30 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -50.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | tyl88 | Trump / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | viltalik | Harris / 99.7¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | gambolr | Harris / 99.6¢ | -200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -200.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Thoer | Harris / 99.6¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -800.00 | $797 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -800.00 | $3.2 |
1–25