
Volume
$612K
Txns
2,181
Traders
332
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 77%$915Mvolume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.43Bvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.59Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 97%$22.1Mvolume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 66%$652Mvolume
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No 97%$27.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | InsiderrrZ | Harris / 99.7¢ | -605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +605.00 | $603 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Sonic2 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -49.99 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Harris / 99.7¢ | +149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | ACat-367 | Harris / 99.7¢ | -149.10 | $149 | |
| 1y | Cincinnatus17 | Harris / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.9¢ | +14,888.88 | $14.9K | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.9¢ | -14,838.88 | $14.8K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Harris / 99.8¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | FutureTech | Harris / 99.8¢ | -55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -26.31 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Polojoki | Harris / 99.6¢ | -26.31 | $26.2 | |
| 1y | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Harris / 99.8¢ | -10,101.30 | $10.1K | |
| 1y | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump / 0.2¢ | -10,101.30 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -50.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | tyl88 | Trump / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | viltalik | Harris / 99.7¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | gambolr | Harris / 99.6¢ | -200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -200.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Thoer | Harris / 99.6¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.6¢ | -800.00 | $797 | |
| 1y | Trump2032-365 | Trump / 0.4¢ | -800.00 | $3.2 |
1–25