
Volume
$18,815
Txns
523
Traders
78
Fees
$12
Liquidity
$9,880
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 79% · $24.8M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 85% · $5.37M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 71% · $13.2M volume
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
No 96% · $5.88M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 95% · $41.9M volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No 92% · $9.93M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +946.51 | $0.95 | |
| 4h | legopen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4h | peculave | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4h | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4h | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4h | akunai | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4h | ma99 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4h | ss16cyclops | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4h | tianjiyuyunzhilu | No / 99.9¢ | +4,546.28 | $4.54K | |
| 4h | grinopro | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.59 | $0.01 | |
| 4h | brownrices | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.59 | $0.01 | |
| 5h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.69 | $0.01 | |
| 5h | ballb | No / 99.9¢ | +5.69 | $5.68 | |
| 5h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.73 | $0.01 | |
| 5h | ballb | No / 99.9¢ | +6.73 | $6.72 | |
| 6h | bigmanbigmac | No / 99.9¢ | -116.14 | $116 | |
| 6h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.07 | $0.04 | |
| 6h | korda77 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -157.21 | $0.15 | |
| 7h | 0xF360e2e2E385FaDB6238FA686A3DE231B3Ca6726-1767697226558 | No / 99.8¢ | -2.67 | $2.66 | |
| 7h | BSS37 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.33 | $0.02 | |
| 7h | christobirizz | No / 99.8¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 7h | 0xF360e2e2E385FaDB6238FA686A3DE231B3Ca6726-1767697226558 | No / 99.8¢ | -23.15 | $23.1 | |
| 7h | cablecar | No / 99.8¢ | +23.15 | $23.1 | |
| 7h | 0xF360e2e2E385FaDB6238FA686A3DE231B3Ca6726-1767697226558 | No / 99.8¢ | -39.00 | $38.9 |
1–25