
Volume
$77K
Txns
1,826
Traders
281
Fees
$203
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 85%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 57%$0volume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 80%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 21d | 0x950d...e8dac5 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +23.16 | $0.05 | |
| 21d | 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 21d | AlAhmeda | No / 99.9¢ | +77.16 | $77.1 | |
| 21d | 0x90A8d5F423e515C1e9b34B18DBa94bfb44Cced23-1774006618008 | No / 97.0¢ | -2.93 | $2.84 | |
| 21d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.9¢ | -2.93 | $0.08 | |
| 21d | 0x950d...e8dac5 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +89.83 | $0.18 | |
| 21d | Cyclone | Yes / 0.5¢ | +180.50 | $0.9 | |
| 21d | The-Defect | No / 99.4¢ | -11.00 | $10.9 | |
| 21d | 0x950d...e8dac5 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.99 | $0.02 | |
| 21d | PPMT | No / 99.4¢ | -6.70 | $6.66 | |
| 21d | 3awerpoghaoe | No / 99.6¢ | +300.02 | $299 | |
| 21d | PPMT | No / 97.8¢ | +2.06 | $2.01 | |
| 21d | 0x24104e532997b073B186dF58cC35Df983a511D99-1783087456610 | No / 97.7¢ | -2.06 | $2.01 | |
| 21d | 0xe96d...45a747 | No / 97.2¢ | -7.00 | $6.8 | |
| 21d | romanew-cryp | Yes / 0.6¢ | -0.27 | $0 | |
| 21d | PPMT | No / 97.2¢ | +6.73 | $6.54 | |
| 21d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 0.6¢ | -10.61 | $0.06 | |
| 21d | romanew-crypto | Yes / 0.6¢ | -9.18 | $0.06 | |
| 21d | romanew-cryp | Yes / 0.6¢ | -24.21 | $0.15 | |
| 21d | Chims | No / 99.4¢ | -44.00 | $43.7 | |
| 21d | Cyclone | Yes / 0.5¢ | +10.74 | $0.05 | |
| 21d | tim8866 | No / 99.5¢ | +10.74 | $10.7 | |
| 22d | EvaLee | No / 99.5¢ | +6.03 | $6 | |
| 22d | Cyclone | Yes / 0.5¢ | +6.03 | $0.03 |
1–25