
Volume
$51K
Txns
485
Traders
128
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, maritime territory, or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by US on Iranian soil, airspace, maritime territory, or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by US forces explicitly claimed by the US government, or confirmed to have originated from US territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Iran by proxy forces will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 66%$0volume
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 61%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 90%$0volume
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