
Volume
$36K
Txns
562
Traders
149
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, maritime territory, or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by US on Iranian soil, airspace, maritime territory, or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by US forces explicitly claimed by the US government, or confirmed to have originated from US territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Iran by proxy forces will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$23.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.28Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 64%$23.8Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.54Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$18.7Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 83%$37.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | bigwing | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | cowcat | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +399.00 | $0.4 | |
| 11mo | bigwing | No / 99.9¢ | +4,602.00 | $4.6K | |
| 11mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +166.00 | $0.17 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +389.00 | $0.39 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +156.00 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +391.00 | $0.39 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +677.62 | $1.36 | |
| 11mo | Slowroasted | No / 99.8¢ | +677.62 | $676 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +560.00 | $1.12 | |
| 11mo | MrZarvok | No / 99.8¢ | +560.00 | $559 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | +26.00 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | Zimmy45 | No / 99.7¢ | +320.00 | $319 | |
| 11mo | rocky42011 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +294.00 | $0.88 | |
| 11mo | MrZarvok | No / 99.5¢ | +20.18 | $20.1 | |
| 11mo | Alphax | No / 99.5¢ | -20.18 | $20.1 | |
| 11mo | winnerpaul | Yes / 0.5¢ | -25.64 | $0.13 | |
| 11mo | Alphax | No / 99.5¢ | -25.64 | $25.5 | |
| 11mo | Alphax | No / 99.5¢ | -854.27 | $850 | |
| 11mo | ondra123 | No / 99.5¢ | +854.27 | $850 | |
| 11mo | jasonenglish | No / 99.5¢ | +13.21 | $13.1 |
1–25