
Volume
$49K
Txns
879
Traders
182
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 7, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and March 15, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
Trades
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 57%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume