
Volume
$16K
Txns
254
Traders
91
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$65,493
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 77%$35.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 94%$3.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$29.3Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.12Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No 76%$1.1Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Eatpraylove | No / 95.0¢ | -2.11 | $2 | |
| 2h | Copytrador | No / 95.0¢ | +2.11 | $2 | |
| 2h | tuknroll1 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +41.29 | $2.89 | |
| 2h | ScottyNooo | No / 93.0¢ | +41.29 | $38.4 | |
| 3h | Eatpraylove | No / 95.0¢ | -2.11 | $2 | |
| 3h | Copytrador | No / 95.0¢ | +2.11 | $2 | |
| 3h | ScottyNooo | No / 93.0¢ | +142.86 | $133 | |
| 3h | n1331 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +142.86 | $10 | |
| 7h | Mubayy | No / 94.0¢ | -1.29 | $1.21 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 6.0¢ | -1.29 | $0.08 | |
| 7h | xyz1234567890 | No / 94.0¢ | -0.53 | $0.5 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 6.0¢ | -1.29 | $0.08 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 6.0¢ | -0.53 | $0.03 | |
| 7h | 55kazuma | No / 94.0¢ | -1.29 | $1.21 | |
| 7h | Eatpraylove | No / 95.0¢ | -1,400.00 | $1.33K | |
| 7h | l3t0 | No / 95.0¢ | +1,400.00 | $1.33K | |
| 7h | ttwong1 | No / 94.0¢ | +300.00 | $282 | |
| 7h | Nadmi | Yes / 6.0¢ | -585.46 | $35.1 | |
| 7h | BSS37 | Yes / 6.0¢ | -88.73 | $5.32 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 6.0¢ | -127.03 | $7.62 | |
| 7h | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1,111.00 | $66.7 | |
| 7h | Elias.Thornwell | No / 94.0¢ | +9.78 | $9.19 | |
| 9h | Nadmi | Yes / 6.0¢ | -0.12 | $0.01 | |
| 9h | 55kazuma | No / 94.0¢ | -0.12 | $0.11 | |
| 9h | Nadmi | Yes / 6.0¢ | -0.07 | $0 |
1–25